#1 by matching listings
Michael Stevens
White & Co Real Estate
Alaya, Alaya Beach, Alaya Gardens
AED 11.4M–42.5M
villa community
Buyer read
Villas have a median sale price of AED 4.5M. 10% of recent sales are off-plan, while market activity ranks top 30%. The downside profile is moderate, based on 2 of 5 available inputs.
AED 4.5M
Villa median · 2025-09-04 to 2026-09-04
10% off-plan
Low supply-pressure proxy
Top 30%
Relative to Dubai communities
Moderate
2 of 5 risk inputs available
A massive 30 million sqft lagoon community by Majid Al Futtaim featuring crystal-clear lagoons and a car-free neighbourhood.
Median PSF
AED 2,448
Villas
YoY change
+9.6%
5-yr sales
1,885
DLD transactions
Median price
AED 4.5M
All property types
DUBUY VERDICT
TILAL AL GHAF offers exceptional amenity density with public-transport coverage is unscored. The mapped inventory covers 41 named venues; use the detail cards below to check the categories that matter to your routine.
Amenity access
90/100
Outdoor access
—
Transit
—
Mapped venues
41
Dining
3/100
19 mapped
Shopping
3/100
7 mapped
Health
2/100
3 mapped
Nightlife
10/100
3 mapped bars
DUBUY VERDICT
TILAL AL GHAF has compounded 115% over 3 years. Yields are below median — buy for resale, not rental income.
YoY change
+9.6%
3-yr growth
+115%
Gross yield
—
5yr volume
1,885
Median PSF
AED 2,448
Villas
YoY change
+9.6%
5-yr sales
1,885
DLD transactions
Median price
AED 4.5M
All property types
TILAL AL GHAF is a primarily villa-based community in Dubai with 1,885 transactions on record over the last five years. Median price per square foot sits at AED 2,448, up 9.6% year-on-year, outperforming the city-wide 7.0% benchmark. Use the evidence groups above to test daily life, market depth, available homes, and downside before deciding what to do next.
Affordability quick-look
Pre-filled with TILAL AL GHAF median. Drag the sliders — DLD-typical 4.5% APR over 25 years.
Monthly payment
AED 19K
Loan AED 3.38M · 25 yrs @ 4.5%
Indicative only — real rates vary by bank, residency status and credit profile. UAE typically requires 20–25% down for residents, 35–50% for non-residents.
PROPERTY CATALOGUE
TILAL AL GHAF is led by villas, with 10 named developments and home types available to research.
Home types
2
Registered and marketed
Typical size
2,505 sqft
Community median
Named homes
10
Projects and home types
Floor plans
0 licensed
Rights-cleared only
Villas
3 B/R, 4 B/R, 5 B/R, 6 B/R, 7 B/R
Not published
Townhouses
3 B/R, 4 B/R
1,511–2,616 sqft
Includes Aura, Elan, Harmony and 7 more.
Explore all homesArchived discussion themes: Praised for mature community with established amenities and services. Criticised for current asking prices significantly inflated compared to launch costs.
Historical discussion
Below average
historical discussion rank among covered Dubai areas
Dated 2021–2026 archive from r/dubai, r/UAE and r/expats · 43 on-topic mentions · latest item Jun 24, 2026 · last scored 2026-07-21
Discussion trend
—
Need 2 more quarters
Mostly discussed by
people considering a move
51% of mentions
Axis zoomed to the observed range (-0.1 to +0.1); sentiment scores still use the full −1 to +1 scale.
Sentiment from Q2 2025 to Q2 2026 moved from -0.06 to 0.06. Based on 18 mentions across 2 quarters.
Based on cosine similarity of what people praise and criticise about each area.
Based on 43 Reddit posts and comments (2021–2026) from r/dubai, r/UAE, r/expats and r/digitalnomad, scored by Claude Haiku. Latest collected item: Jun 24, 2026. Last scored 2026-07-21. Read the full methodology.
MARKET VERDICT
TILAL AL GHAF is outperforming Dubai's current 7.0% annual benchmark. Read price direction together with volume, yield, and forecast confidence rather than treating one change figure as a buy signal.
YoY change
+9.6%
3-yr growth
+115%
12m sales
187
Forecast
high
Current PSF
AED 2,227
6-month forecast
+1.4%
Forecast range
2,144–2,370
AED per sqft
Confidence
High
Model confidence
HOMES & LISTINGS VERDICT
TILAL AL GHAF is led by villas, with 10 named developments and home types available to research.
Named profiles
10
Primary stock
Villas
Agent evidence
Available
Off-plan mix
10%
Named profiles
10
complete catalogue
Primary stock
Villas
61% of observed mix
12m sales
187
DLD transactions
Agent evidence
Available
Observed listing specialists
RISK & SUPPLY VERDICT
Supply concentration, delivery pipeline, leverage, liquidity, flood exposure, and forecast uncertainty can change the exit case. The current downside profile is moderate with 2 of 5 composite inputs available.
Supply pressure
low
Downside
Moderate
Forecast confidence
high
Mapped greenery
High
Off-plan share
10%
Recent ready/off-plan sales
Supply pressure
Low
187 sales sampled
Downside profile
Moderate
2 of 5 inputs
Forecast confidence
High
Scenario confidence
Dubai's property market has grown 60% since the 2020 pandemic low. TILAL AL GHAF is growing faster than the citywide average, indicating strong local demand.
4 schools · UK · IB · US
KHDA inspector notes
“Leaders’ commitment and their vision for school improvement.”
“The involvement of the parents and the Dwight Board in supporting the development of the school.”
School fee inflation
Index normalised to 100 in 2019. Same-grade-across-years comparison (avoids grade-tier expansion bias).
Highest-rated
Victory Heights Primary School L.L.C
UK · FS1-Y6 · AED 44K/yr · Selective entry
Royal Grammar School Guildford L.L.C
UK · FS1-Y8 · AED 103K/yr · Selective entry
Dwight School L.L.C
IB · Pre Primary-G12 · AED 88K/yr · Selective entry
Renaissance School L.L.C
US · Pre Primary-G7 · AED 46K/yr · Moderate entry
KHDA-licensed nurseries nearby(6 within range)
Straight-line distances; real walking/driving routes typically 20–40% longer.
Full school analysis on DubaiSchools.ai
KHDA inspection history · fee trajectories · curriculum search · admissions data
Source: DubaiSchools.ai · KHDA inspection ratings, demand scores, and fees curated from public records.
Mapped amenities within a 2.5km straight-line radius • 39 total outlets near TILAL AL GHAF
Exceptional amenity density · based on mapped POI density, not routed walking conditions
Data source: OpenStreetMap via Overpass API • 2.5km straight-line radius • Source snapshot: September 2026
High mapped greenery · #24 of 75 mapped Dubai communities The 22 figure counts OpenStreetMap park-tagged features within 2.5km of the community centre. It does not mean 22 distinct named parks or confirm walking access.
Drive times from TILAL AL GHAF to Dubai airports
Future: Expanding to become world's largest airport by 2040
Closer to Al Maktoum Airport (DWC) - Dubai's future main hub. Only 27 min drive vs 45 min to DXB.
Drive times are estimates based on distance and typical Dubai traffic patterns. Actual times may vary based on traffic conditions and route taken.
Key infrastructure improvements coming to this area. Emirates Road (E311) Capacity Upgrade will enhance connectivity and amenities.
Widening and improvement of Emirates Road to handle increased traffic from growing southern communities.
Revival of the Palm Jebel Ali project with updated master plan. Will be larger than Palm Jumeirah.
Data compiled from Dubai 2040 Urban Master Plan, RTA announcements, developer publications, and official government sources. Project timelines are subject to change.
Observed listing specialists
563 matching sale adverts across 271 agents. Ranked by unique listings, not paid placement or a claim of service quality.
#1 by matching listings
White & Co Real Estate
Alaya, Alaya Beach, Alaya Gardens
AED 11.4M–42.5M
#2 by matching listings
THRIVESTATE SQUARE REAL ESTATE
Alaya, Amara, Elysian Mansions
AED 9.3M–34.9M
#3 by matching listings
betterhomes - Motor City
Alaya, Alaya Gardens, Aura Gardens
AED 4.0M–33.3M
Observed 11 Aug 2026. One physical home can be advertised more than once; use this shortlist to find agents with options, then verify the individual RERA licence and interview them.
Sale and rental listings pulled from PropertyFinder. Filter by purpose, bedrooms, or price — sort live.
No active listings indexed yet
PropertyFinder syncs are weekly. Try again soon, or browse PropertyFinder directly.
30-DAY REPRICING
Dubuy is validating advertised asking-price reductions before publishing this community signal. Zeros are withheld until comparable collection runs and the accuracy audit pass.
Completed runs
25
Minimum release
4 runs
Audit sample
0
State
shadow
Advert-level changes, not unique homes or completed-sale discounts.
Open filtered Repricing RadarMarket history
Median sale price per sqft and registered sales, by completed quarter. Volume often moves before price.
Latest median PSF
AED 2,331
Q2 2026
3m price change
-4.9%
vs prior completed quarter
Quarter sales
30
Q2 2026
3m sales change
-41.2%
vs prior completed quarter
Completed quarters are used instead of raw 1-month changes because DLD registrations typically lag 4–8 weeks and thin monthly samples can overstate changes in the mix of homes sold.
The headline median blends ready resale with off-plan (developer) sales — about 10% of recorded sales here are off-plan. A ready-only split is added on the next DLD data refresh.
From 2026Q3 · 8 quarters of data
AED 2,227/sqft → AED 2,257/sqft
Range AED 2,144 – 2,370· +0.1 pp vs Dubai forecast (+1.3%)
Drivers
Base trend
OLS slope of last 8 quarters' median psf, projected 6mo
Supply pressure
10% off-plan share — low incoming supply
Discussion momentum
Historical discussion trend +0.00 over last 4q (dated 2021–2026 Reddit archive, n=43)
OLS trend + supply pressure + dated discussion momentum. Not a substitute for property-level appraisal. Methodology →
Offer guide
74 ready-home DLD sales put the exact bedrooms middle PSF at AED 2,613. Add the asking price and internal area to scale the evidence to a home.
Value a unit in this community
Bedroom-specific psf, building-tier adjusted, with the actual comparables we used. Free — methodology shown.
Median PSF change over time
3 months
-4.5%
6 months
-9.1%
1 year
-9.0%
2 years
+9.3%
Median price per square foot (PSF), quarter-on-quarter, ending 2026Q3. From DLD transactions; monthly granularity isn't published.
| Quarter | Median/sqft | Transactions | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | AED 2,227 | 34 | -4.5% |
| 2026Q2 | AED 2,331 | 30 | -4.9% |
| 2026Q1 | AED 2,451 | 51 | -3.8% |
| 2025Q4 | AED 2,547 | 62 | +4.0% |
| 2025Q3 | AED 2,448 | 38 | +5.8% |
| 2025Q2 | AED 2,313 | 54 | +2.4% |
| 2025Q1 | AED 2,259 | 58 | +5.5% |
| 2024Q4 | AED 2,142 | 46 | +5.2% |
| 2024Q3 | AED 2,037 | 59 | +7.1% |
| 2024Q2 | AED 1,902 | 124 | +2.7% |
| 2024Q1 | AED 1,852 | 103 | +7.4% |
| 2023Q4 | AED 1,724 | 99 | +4.2% |
| 2023Q3 | AED 1,654 | 82 | +9.0% |
| 2023Q2 | AED 1,518 | 112 | +12.7% |
| 2023Q1 | AED 1,347 | 104 | +7.2% |
| 2022Q4 | AED 1,257 | 51 | +2.7% |
| 2022Q3 | AED 1,224 | 39 | +8.8% |
| 2022Q2 | AED 1,125 | 80 | -2.2% |
| 2022Q1 | AED 1,150 | 82 | -4.7% |
| 2021Q4 | AED 1,207 | 508 | +11.6% |
| 2021Q3 | AED 1,082 | 69 |
Healthcare, education, government housing, air quality, and official land valuations.
DLD-licensed agents • 8,724 registered brokers from 792 agencies
View All AgentsAll agents verified through Dubai Land Department (DLD) licensing system
Off-plan risk
34/100
Moderate
Headline risk for TILAL AL GHAF. Buyer Pro explains the five supply, developer, pricing, liquidity, and momentum drivers.
Explain TILAL AL GHAF's off-plan risk score
See the five scored drivers covering supply concentration, developer delivery, price premium, exit liquidity, and momentum.
Composite of leverage trend, transaction velocity, asking-vs-realized wedge, market-temperature proxy, and off-plan share. Exact scores require at least 4 of 5 inputs; lower coverage is shown as a tier only. Higher = more vulnerable to a downturn. Not a buy/sell signal — context only.
Counts OpenStreetMap-tagged green features (parks, gardens, woods, grass and pitches) within a 2.5km straight-line search radius of the community centroid. The tier is relative to other Dubai communities and does not claim walkability or shade. Satellite vegetation is the ESA WorldCover 2021 share at 10m resolution when available.
April 2024: Standing water reported in the wider Dubailand belt.
A conservative, news-derived read of communities reported flooded in the April 2024 event — indicative only, not an engineering, drainage or insurance assessment. Elevation is shown as context, not used to score risk (Dubai is flat; drainage drives flooding). Communities without a rating were simply not reported — that is not evidence of safety. Methodology
Pick a date and click "Look up" to see this community's median PSF and transaction counts on that day. Data starts from when our weekly DLD pipeline began persisting snapshots.
Get an email when TILAL AL GHAF's median PSF moves more than your chosen threshold. One community, one email — no broadcasts.
Current baseline: AED 2,448/sqft. Unsubscribe in one click. We respect your inbox.
The median property price in TILAL AL GHAF is AED 4,500,000, with a median price per square foot of AED 2,448. Prices have changed +9.6% year-over-year as of September 2026.
TILAL AL GHAF is primarily a villa community with approximately 0% apartments and 61% villas. The most common property types include Villa (3,103).
TILAL AL GHAF has seen 1,885 property transactions over the past 5 years. The current year-over-year price change is +9.6%, with 187 transactions in the last 12 months. This data is sourced from the Dubai Land Department (DLD).
Numbers above are derived from Dubai Land Department (DLD) transaction records and Ejari rental contracts as of September 2026.How we built this.