6-month price forecast — with the drivers we used
Property Finder and Realiste ship a single forecast number. We show ours and the three drivers that produced it: base trend, supply pressure, and dated discussion momentum. Transparent enough to argue with.
Dubai-wide forecast
+1.3%
Communities covered
90
Forecast horizon
6 months
Last refresh
08/09/2026
Direction:
Min confidence:
| Community | 6mo forecast | Current PSF | Forecast PSF | Drivers | Conf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jumeirah Park | +13.7% | 2,722 | 3,094 | trend +13.7supply +0.0 | low | |
| WARSAN FIRST DEVELOPMENT | +13.6% | 1,294 | 1,469 | trend +15.0supply -1.4 | low | |
| Meydan Racecourse Community | +13.2% | 3,417 | 3,868 | trend +15.0supply -1.8 | low | |
| JABEL ALI HILLS | +12.3% | 377 | 424 | trend +12.3supply +0.0 | low | |
| Dubai South Residential District | +12.0% | 1,850 | 2,072 | trend +13.9supply -1.8 | low | |
| Living Legends | +10.8% | 1,421 | 1,575 | trend +12.1supply -1.3 | low | |
| Falcon City | +10.7% | 1,589 | 1,759 | trend +12.6supply -1.9 | low | |
| Al Rashidiya | +10.3% | 269 | 297 | trend +10.3supply +0.0 | low | |
| Jumeirah Islands | +9.8% | 2,304 | 2,529 | trend +11.3supply -1.5 | low | |
| Al Barari | +9.8% | 2,608 | 2,862 | trend +10.5supply -0.8Discussion momentum +0.0 | low | |
| Rukan | +9.6% | 1,308 | 1,433 | trend +9.6supply +0.0 | low | |
| Palm Jumeirah | +8.7% | 3,010 | 3,271 | trend +7.5supply -0.8Discussion momentum +2.0 | low | |
| Nad Al Shiba Villas | +8.4% | 961 | 1,042 | trend +8.4supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Dubai Sports City | +7.4% | 1,235 | 1,326 | trend +6.5supply -1.2Discussion momentum +2.0 | medium | |
| Jabal Ali Village | +7.4% | 1,184 | 1,272 | trend +7.4supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Sufouh Gardens | +7.3% | 2,462 | 2,643 | trend +8.1supply -0.8 | low | |
| Nad Al Sheba Gardens | +7.2% | 1,750 | 1,876 | trend +8.4supply -1.2 | low | |
| DAMAC HILLS | +6.9% | 1,787 | 1,910 | trend +8.0supply -1.2Discussion momentum +0.0 | low | |
| International City Phase 3 | +6.9% | 1,248 | 1,334 | trend +8.4supply -1.4 | medium | |
| Springs - 2 | +6.2% | 1,804 | 1,916 | trend +6.2supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Mudon | +5.6% | 1,588 | 1,677 | trend +6.1supply -0.5Discussion momentum +0.0 | medium | |
| Jumeirah Golf Estates | +5.4% | 1,526 | 1,608 | trend +5.5supply -0.2 | low | |
| Palm Deira | +4.9% | 2,361 | 2,477 | trend +6.8supply -1.9 | medium | |
| Dubai Maritime City | +4.8% | 3,147 | 3,297 | trend +6.8supply -2.0 | medium | |
| Barsha Heights | +4.8% | 1,121 | 1,174 | trend +6.0supply -0.5Discussion momentum -0.8 | low | |
| The Villa | +4.8% | 944 | 989 | trend +4.8supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Jumeirah Garden City | +4.6% | 2,348 | 2,457 | trend +6.2supply -1.6 | medium | |
| Madinat Badr | +4.6% | 1,414 | 1,479 | trend +4.6supply +0.0 | high | |
| Mirdif | +4.6% | 1,107 | 1,158 | trend +5.3supply -0.6Discussion momentum +0.0 | low | |
| Dubai Investment Park First | +4.5% | 1,119 | 1,169 | trend +6.4supply -1.9 | medium | |
| Down Town Jabal Ali | +4.5% | 1,730 | 1,808 | trend +6.4supply -1.9 | medium | |
| City Of Arabia | +4.3% | 1,706 | 1,779 | trend +6.2supply -2.0 | medium | |
| International City Phase 1 | +4.2% | 671 | 699 | trend +4.6supply -0.4 | medium | |
| Liwan1 | +4.2% | 1,101 | 1,148 | trend +5.4supply -1.1 | low | |
| Arjan | +4.1% | 1,560 | 1,624 | trend +5.8supply -1.3Discussion momentum -0.4 | medium | |
| Dubai Water Canal | +3.7% | 3,052 | 3,164 | trend +5.3supply -1.7 | medium | |
| The Greens | +3.6% | 1,808 | 1,872 | trend +3.7supply -0.1 | high | |
| Dubai Health Care City Phase 2 | +3.3% | 1,699 | 1,755 | trend +4.6supply -1.3 | medium | |
| Springs - 1 | +3.3% | 1,820 | 1,881 | trend +3.3supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Jumeirah Village Triangle | +3.2% | 1,577 | 1,628 | trend +4.9supply -1.7 | medium | |
| Wasl Gate | +2.9% | 1,685 | 1,734 | trend +4.9supply -1.9 | medium | |
| Arabian Ranches II | +2.9% | 1,396 | 1,437 | trend +2.9supply +0.0 | high | |
| Business Park | +2.8% | 3,223 | 3,314 | trend +4.8supply -2.0 | medium | |
| 800 Villas | +2.7% | 1,287 | 1,322 | trend +2.7supply +0.0 | high | |
| LA MER | +2.5% | 3,209 | 3,288 | trend +2.6supply -0.1 | medium | |
| DMCC-EZ2 | +2.5% | 3,055 | 3,130 | trend +4.5supply -2.0 | medium | |
| Mohammed Bin Rashid AL Maktoum District 11 | +2.2% | 1,613 | 1,648 | trend +3.6supply -1.4 | medium | |
| Dubai Science Park | +2.1% | 1,723 | 1,760 | trend +4.0supply -1.9 | high | |
| Jaddaf Waterfront | +2.0% | 2,170 | 2,213 | trend +3.9supply -1.9 | high | |
| HADAEQ SHEIKH MOHAMMED BIN RASHID - DISRICT 7 | +1.6% | 2,087 | 2,121 | trend +1.7supply -0.1 | medium | |
| TOWN SQUARE | +1.5% | 1,370 | 1,390 | trend +3.7supply -1.1Discussion momentum -1.1 | medium | |
| TILAL AL GHAF | +1.4% | 2,227 | 2,257 | trend +1.6supply -0.2Discussion momentum +0.0 | high | |
| City Walk | +1.2% | 2,943 | 2,980 | trend +2.6supply -1.4Discussion momentum +0.0 | medium | |
| Arabian Ranches - 1 | +1.2% | 1,485 | 1,503 | trend +3.0supply -1.8 | high | |
| Remraam | +1.2% | 929 | 940 | trend +3.2supply +0.0Discussion momentum -2.0 | high | |
| Arabian Ranches 3 | +1.1% | 1,602 | 1,619 | trend +1.7supply -0.6 | high | |
| Dubai Studio City | +1.1% | 1,519 | 1,535 | trend +2.4supply -1.3 | high | |
| DownTown Dubai | +1.0% | 2,630 | 2,655 | trend +1.3supply -1.0Discussion momentum +0.7 | low | |
| DAMAC Lagoons | +0.8% | 1,646 | 1,660 | trend +2.1supply -1.2Discussion momentum +0.0 | high | |
| Jumeirah Village Circle | +0.5% | 1,386 | 1,393 | trend +1.8supply -1.3 | high | |
| Meydan One Community | +0.5% | 2,072 | 2,083 | trend +1.1supply -0.6 | high | |
| Majan | +0.5% | 1,436 | 1,444 | trend +2.2supply -1.7 | medium | |
| International Media Production Zone | +0.3% | 1,381 | 1,385 | trend +1.8supply -1.5 | high | |
| Al Furjan | +0.0% | 1,325 | 1,326 | trend +2.4supply -1.0Discussion momentum -1.3 | high | |
| Wasl 1 | +0.0% | 2,201 | 2,201 | trend +1.4supply -1.4 | high | |
| Palm Jabal Ali | -0.3% | 3,542 | 3,530 | trend +1.7supply -2.0 | low | |
| Bluewaters Island | -0.4% | 6,839 | 6,814 | trend -0.3supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Discovery Gardens | -0.5% | 909 | 905 | trend -0.2supply -0.3Discussion momentum +0.0 | high | |
| The World | -0.5% | 2,795 | 2,781 | trend +1.5supply -2.0 | low | |
| Dubai Creek Harbour | -0.8% | 2,530 | 2,509 | trend +2.5supply -1.6Discussion momentum -1.7 | high | |
| Mina Rashid | -1.0% | 2,236 | 2,213 | trend +0.8supply -1.8 | medium | |
| Jumeriah Beach Residence - JBR | -1.2% | 1,536 | 1,517 | trend -1.2supply +0.0 | high | |
| The Valley | -1.5% | 1,312 | 1,292 | trend -0.3supply -1.2 | medium | |
| Dubai World Central | -1.6% | 1,707 | 1,680 | trend +0.2supply -1.8 | medium | |
| SOBHA HARTLAND | -1.8% | 1,924 | 1,889 | trend -0.6supply -0.4Discussion momentum -0.8 | high | |
| Business Bay | -1.9% | 2,095 | 2,055 | trend -0.9supply -1.3Discussion momentum +0.3 | medium | |
| Dubai Hills Estate | -2.2% | 2,230 | 2,181 | trend -1.0supply -1.2Discussion momentum +0.0 | high | |
| Dubai Harbour | -2.6% | 3,967 | 3,863 | trend -1.3supply -1.3 | high | |
| Dubai Land Residence Complex | -2.9% | 1,374 | 1,335 | trend -1.6supply -1.3 | high | |
| TECOM Site D | -3.0% | 2,618 | 2,539 | trend -1.0supply -2.0 | high | |
| DMCC-EZ1 | -3.6% | 2,765 | 2,665 | trend -3.6supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Al Warqa | -3.8% | 319 | 307 | trend -3.8supply +0.0 | low | |
| Silicon Oasis | -4.1% | 1,150 | 1,103 | trend -3.1supply -1.0 | low | |
| Dubai Investment Park Second | -4.2% | 1,436 | 1,376 | trend -2.3supply -1.9 | high | |
| Dubai Marina | -4.7% | 1,979 | 1,887 | trend -4.4supply -0.3Discussion momentum +0.0 | medium | |
| Motor City | -5.0% | 1,738 | 1,651 | trend -3.5supply -1.5 | high | |
| Mohammed Bin Rashid AL Maktoum City -District -1 Community | -5.6% | 1,869 | 1,764 | trend -5.5supply -0.1 | medium | |
| DAMAC HILLS 2 | -6.7% | 1,039 | 969 | trend -6.7supply -0.1 | medium | |
| Jumeirah Lakes Towers | -10.8% | 1,512 | 1,348 | trend -9.9supply -1.0 | medium | |
| TECOM Site A | -13.3% | 2,278 | 1,975 | trend -12.8supply -0.5 | low |
Methodology
Three-driver transparent model: (1) base trend = OLS slope of last 4–8 quarters of median psf projected 6mo forward; (2) supply pressure = downward modifier scaled by off-plan share, capped at -2pp; (3) demand pull = sentiment_trend × 8, capped at ±2pp, only when n≥30 Reddit items. Most-recent quarter dropped from trend if its sample is <30% of prior (DLD registration lag). Confidence reflects quarterly volatility + sample width. Approximate. NOT a substitute for property-level appraisal.
- Base trend — OLS slope of last 4–8 quarters of median psf, projected forward 2 quarters. Capped at ±15% to avoid runaway extrapolation.
- Supply pressure — downward pressure scaled by off-plan share. 0% off-plan → 0pp; 50% → -1pp; 100% → -2pp.
- Discussion momentum — 4-quarter trend from the dated 2021–2026 Reddit archive × 8, capped ±2pp. Applied only with at least 30 on-topic items; this is qualitative context, not a live demand measure.
- Confidence — derived from quarterly volatility + sample width. High → ±5%, medium → ±8%, low → ±13%.
- Most-recent quarter is dropped from the trend if its sample size is <30% of the prior quarter (DLD registration lag).