6-month price forecast — with the drivers we used
Property Finder and Realiste ship a single forecast number. We show ours and the three drivers that produced it: base trend, supply pressure, and dated discussion momentum. Transparent enough to argue with.
Dubai-wide forecast
+1.6%
Communities covered
90
Forecast horizon
6 months
Last refresh
04/08/2026
Direction:
Min confidence:
| Community | 6mo forecast | Current PSF | Forecast PSF | Drivers | Conf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meydan Racecourse Community | +13.2% | 3,436 | 3,890 | trend +15.0supply -1.8 | low | |
| Falcon City | +13.1% | 1,600 | 1,810 | trend +15.0supply -1.9 | low | |
| JABEL ALI HILLS | +12.3% | 377 | 424 | trend +12.3supply +0.0 | low | |
| Dubai South Residential District | +12.0% | 1,850 | 2,073 | trend +13.9supply -1.8 | low | |
| Rukan | +11.8% | 1,366 | 1,527 | trend +11.8supply +0.0 | low | |
| Living Legends | +11.0% | 1,426 | 1,583 | trend +12.1supply -1.1 | low | |
| Al Rashidiya | +10.3% | 269 | 297 | trend +10.3supply +0.0 | low | |
| Jumeirah Islands | +9.8% | 2,288 | 2,512 | trend +11.2supply -1.5 | low | |
| Al Barari | +9.5% | 2,951 | 3,232 | trend +10.3supply -0.8Discussion momentum +0.0 | low | |
| Palm Jumeirah | +9.0% | 3,116 | 3,397 | trend +7.8supply -0.8Discussion momentum +2.0 | low | |
| Jumeirah Park | +8.9% | 3,622 | 3,944 | trend +8.9supply +0.0 | low | |
| Nad Al Shiba Villas | +8.4% | 961 | 1,042 | trend +8.4supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Nad Al Sheba Gardens | +8.3% | 2,020 | 2,188 | trend +9.5supply -1.2 | low | |
| International City Phase 3 | +8.2% | 1,141 | 1,235 | trend +9.7supply -1.5 | low | |
| Dubai Sports City | +7.7% | 1,277 | 1,375 | trend +6.9supply -1.2Discussion momentum +2.0 | medium | |
| Barsha Heights | +7.4% | 1,500 | 1,611 | trend +8.7supply -0.5Discussion momentum -0.8 | low | |
| Jabal Ali Village | +7.4% | 1,184 | 1,272 | trend +7.4supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Dubai Health Care City Phase 2 | +7.2% | 2,018 | 2,163 | trend +8.6supply -1.4 | low | |
| DAMAC HILLS | +7.1% | 1,810 | 1,938 | trend +8.2supply -1.1Discussion momentum +0.0 | low | |
| Palm Deira | +6.9% | 2,942 | 3,145 | trend +8.8supply -1.9 | low | |
| The Villa | +6.9% | 1,013 | 1,083 | trend +6.9supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Springs - 1 | +6.9% | 2,496 | 2,669 | trend +6.9supply +0.0 | low | |
| Dubai Maritime City | +6.5% | 3,300 | 3,514 | trend +8.4supply -2.0 | medium | |
| Springs - 2 | +6.2% | 1,804 | 1,916 | trend +6.2supply +0.0 | medium | |
| International City Phase 1 | +5.4% | 716 | 755 | trend +5.7supply -0.3 | medium | |
| Jumeirah Golf Estates | +5.4% | 1,526 | 1,608 | trend +5.5supply -0.2 | low | |
| Mohammed Bin Rashid AL Maktoum District 11 | +5.2% | 1,880 | 1,977 | trend +6.6supply -1.5 | medium | |
| Liwan1 | +5.0% | 1,180 | 1,239 | trend +6.1supply -1.2 | low | |
| DMCC-EZ2 | +5.0% | 3,200 | 3,360 | trend +7.0supply -2.0 | low | |
| Mudon | +4.8% | 1,490 | 1,562 | trend +5.4supply -0.6Discussion momentum +0.0 | medium | |
| Arjan | +4.7% | 1,648 | 1,726 | trend +6.4supply -1.3Discussion momentum -0.4 | medium | |
| Down Town Jabal Ali | +4.6% | 1,729 | 1,808 | trend +6.4supply -1.8 | medium | |
| City Of Arabia | +4.4% | 1,724 | 1,800 | trend +6.4supply -2.0 | medium | |
| Sufouh Gardens | +4.4% | 1,728 | 1,804 | trend +4.5supply -0.1 | medium | |
| Madinat Badr | +4.3% | 1,381 | 1,440 | trend +4.3supply +0.0 | high | |
| WARSAN FIRST DEVELOPMENT | +4.2% | 1,373 | 1,431 | trend +5.5supply -1.3 | low | |
| Jumeirah Village Triangle | +4.1% | 1,678 | 1,747 | trend +5.8supply -1.7 | medium | |
| Dubai Investment Park First | +3.4% | 1,214 | 1,255 | trend +5.2supply -1.8 | medium | |
| The Greens | +3.3% | 1,777 | 1,836 | trend +3.5supply -0.1 | high | |
| Dubai Water Canal | +3.3% | 2,957 | 3,054 | trend +5.0supply -1.7 | medium | |
| Mina Rashid | +3.2% | 2,810 | 2,901 | trend +5.1supply -1.8 | medium | |
| Majan | +3.0% | 1,412 | 1,454 | trend +4.7supply -1.7 | medium | |
| Business Park | +2.8% | 3,223 | 3,314 | trend +4.8supply -2.0 | medium | |
| Arabian Ranches II | +2.7% | 1,379 | 1,417 | trend +2.7supply +0.0 | high | |
| 800 Villas | +2.7% | 1,287 | 1,322 | trend +2.7supply +0.0 | high | |
| Al Warqa | +2.7% | 335 | 344 | trend +2.7supply +0.0 | low | |
| Dubai Science Park | +2.5% | 1,712 | 1,755 | trend +4.4supply -1.9 | high | |
| Wasl Gate | +2.5% | 1,551 | 1,590 | trend +4.4supply -1.9 | medium | |
| LA MER | +2.4% | 3,209 | 3,287 | trend +2.6supply -0.1 | medium | |
| City Walk | +2.1% | 2,932 | 2,995 | trend +3.6supply -1.4Discussion momentum +0.0 | medium | |
| Jaddaf Waterfront | +2.1% | 2,189 | 2,235 | trend +4.0supply -1.9 | medium | |
| Mirdif | +2.0% | 892 | 910 | trend +2.5supply -0.5Discussion momentum +0.0 | low | |
| Jumeirah Garden City | +1.6% | 2,397 | 2,436 | trend +3.2supply -1.6 | medium | |
| TOWN SQUARE | +1.5% | 1,370 | 1,390 | trend +3.7supply -1.1Discussion momentum -1.1 | medium | |
| TILAL AL GHAF | +1.4% | 2,236 | 2,268 | trend +1.6supply -0.2Discussion momentum +0.0 | high | |
| Remraam | +1.3% | 940 | 952 | trend +3.3supply +0.0Discussion momentum -2.0 | high | |
| DAMAC Lagoons | +1.1% | 1,840 | 1,860 | trend +2.2supply -1.2Discussion momentum +0.0 | high | |
| Arabian Ranches - 1 | +1.1% | 1,474 | 1,491 | trend +2.9supply -1.8 | high | |
| Meydan One Community | +0.9% | 2,124 | 2,143 | trend +1.5supply -0.6 | high | |
| Dubai Studio City | +0.8% | 1,497 | 1,510 | trend +2.2supply -1.3 | high | |
| DownTown Dubai | +0.6% | 2,581 | 2,596 | trend +1.0supply -1.1Discussion momentum +0.7 | low | |
| International Media Production Zone | +0.5% | 1,400 | 1,406 | trend +2.0supply -1.6 | high | |
| Palm Jabal Ali | +0.5% | 3,594 | 3,612 | trend +2.5supply -2.0 | low | |
| Jumeirah Village Circle | +0.3% | 1,366 | 1,370 | trend +1.6supply -1.3 | high | |
| Al Furjan | +0.2% | 1,349 | 1,352 | trend +2.6supply -1.1Discussion momentum -1.3 | high | |
| HADAEQ SHEIKH MOHAMMED BIN RASHID - DISRICT 7 | +0.2% | 1,911 | 1,915 | trend +0.3supply -0.1 | medium | |
| Wasl 1 | +0.1% | 2,250 | 2,253 | trend +1.8supply -1.6 | high | |
| Motor City | -0.3% | 1,693 | 1,688 | trend +1.2supply -1.5 | medium | |
| Arabian Ranches 3 | -0.3% | 1,472 | 1,467 | trend +0.4supply -0.7 | medium | |
| Jumeriah Beach Residence - JBR | -0.4% | 1,614 | 1,608 | trend -0.4supply +0.0 | high | |
| Discovery Gardens | -0.5% | 906 | 901 | trend -0.2supply -0.3Discussion momentum +0.0 | high | |
| The World | -0.5% | 2,795 | 2,781 | trend +1.5supply -2.0 | low | |
| Bluewaters Island | -0.7% | 5,672 | 5,630 | trend -0.7supply +0.0 | medium | |
| The Valley | -0.9% | 1,365 | 1,353 | trend +0.4supply -1.3 | medium | |
| Dubai Creek Harbour | -1.2% | 2,577 | 2,547 | trend +2.1supply -1.6Discussion momentum -1.7 | high | |
| Dubai World Central | -1.8% | 1,686 | 1,656 | trend +0.0supply -1.8 | medium | |
| SOBHA HARTLAND | -1.9% | 1,918 | 1,882 | trend -0.7supply -0.4Discussion momentum -0.8 | high | |
| Dubai Harbour | -1.9% | 4,137 | 4,058 | trend -0.6supply -1.3 | high | |
| Mohammed Bin Rashid AL Maktoum City -District -1 Community | -2.0% | 1,829 | 1,792 | trend -1.9supply -0.1 | medium | |
| Business Bay | -2.3% | 2,058 | 2,011 | trend -1.2supply -1.4Discussion momentum +0.3 | medium | |
| Dubai Hills Estate | -2.4% | 2,218 | 2,164 | trend -1.1supply -1.3Discussion momentum +0.0 | high | |
| TECOM Site D | -3.0% | 2,618 | 2,539 | trend -1.0supply -2.0 | high | |
| Silicon Oasis | -3.4% | 1,200 | 1,160 | trend -2.3supply -1.1 | low | |
| DMCC-EZ1 | -3.6% | 2,765 | 2,665 | trend -3.6supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Dubai Investment Park Second | -4.2% | 1,441 | 1,381 | trend -2.3supply -1.9 | high | |
| Dubai Land Residence Complex | -4.5% | 1,267 | 1,210 | trend -3.2supply -1.3 | high | |
| Dubai Marina | -4.8% | 1,972 | 1,877 | trend -4.5supply -0.3Discussion momentum +0.0 | medium | |
| DAMAC HILLS 2 | -7.4% | 1,010 | 935 | trend -7.3supply -0.1 | medium | |
| Jumeirah Lakes Towers | -11.6% | 1,471 | 1,300 | trend -10.6supply -1.0 | medium | |
| TECOM Site A | -13.3% | 2,282 | 1,979 | trend -12.7supply -0.6 | low |
Methodology
Three-driver transparent model: (1) base trend = OLS slope of last 4–8 quarters of median psf projected 6mo forward; (2) supply pressure = downward modifier scaled by off-plan share, capped at -2pp; (3) demand pull = sentiment_trend × 8, capped at ±2pp, only when n≥30 Reddit items. Most-recent quarter dropped from trend if its sample is <30% of prior (DLD registration lag). Confidence reflects quarterly volatility + sample width. Approximate. NOT a substitute for property-level appraisal.
- Base trend — OLS slope of last 4–8 quarters of median psf, projected forward 2 quarters. Capped at ±15% to avoid runaway extrapolation.
- Supply pressure — downward pressure scaled by off-plan share. 0% off-plan → 0pp; 50% → -1pp; 100% → -2pp.
- Discussion momentum — 4-quarter trend from the dated 2021–2026 Reddit archive × 8, capped ±2pp. Applied only with at least 30 on-topic items; this is qualitative context, not a live demand measure.
- Confidence — derived from quarterly volatility + sample width. High → ±5%, medium → ±8%, low → ±13%.
- Most-recent quarter is dropped from the trend if its sample size is <30% of the prior quarter (DLD registration lag).