6-month price forecast — with the drivers we used
Property Finder and Realiste ship a single forecast number. We show ours and the three drivers that produced it: base trend, supply pressure, and dated discussion momentum. Transparent enough to argue with.
Dubai-wide forecast
+0.3%
Communities covered
90
Forecast horizon
6 months
Last refresh
04/11/2026
Direction:
Min confidence:
| Community | 6mo forecast | Current PSF | Forecast PSF | Drivers | Conf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jumeirah Park | +15.0% | 2,404 | 2,765 | trend +15.0supply +0.0 | low | |
| WARSAN FIRST DEVELOPMENT | +13.6% | 1,266 | 1,438 | trend +15.0supply -1.4 | low | |
| Meydan Racecourse Community | +13.2% | 3,413 | 3,862 | trend +15.0supply -1.8 | low | |
| JABEL ALI HILLS | +12.3% | 377 | 424 | trend +12.3supply +0.0 | low | |
| Dubai South Residential District | +11.1% | 1,930 | 2,143 | trend +12.9supply -1.9 | low | |
| Falcon City | +10.6% | 1,533 | 1,696 | trend +12.5supply -1.9 | low | |
| Jumeirah Islands | +10.3% | 2,306 | 2,544 | trend +11.8supply -1.5 | low | |
| Al Rashidiya | +9.7% | 312 | 342 | trend +9.7supply +0.0 | low | |
| Living Legends | +8.4% | 1,295 | 1,403 | trend +9.7supply -1.3 | low | |
| Nad Al Shiba Villas | +8.4% | 961 | 1,042 | trend +8.4supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Springs - 2 | +7.4% | 1,804 | 1,938 | trend +7.4supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Sufouh Gardens | +7.1% | 2,462 | 2,638 | trend +8.1supply -1.0 | low | |
| Al Warqa | +7.0% | 792 | 848 | trend +7.0supply +0.0 | low | |
| The World | +6.6% | 1,924 | 2,050 | trend +8.3supply -1.8 | low | |
| Nad Al Sheba Gardens | +6.3% | 1,779 | 1,891 | trend +7.5supply -1.2 | low | |
| International City Phase 3 | +6.2% | 1,270 | 1,349 | trend +7.7supply -1.5 | medium | |
| Mudon | +5.5% | 1,784 | 1,882 | trend +5.9supply -0.4Discussion momentum +0.0 | medium | |
| Springs - 1 | +5.4% | 2,150 | 2,265 | trend +5.4supply +0.0 | medium | |
| DAMAC HILLS | +5.1% | 1,668 | 1,752 | trend +6.2supply -1.2Discussion momentum +0.0 | medium | |
| Palm Jumeirah | +4.9% | 3,464 | 3,634 | trend +3.6supply -0.7Discussion momentum +2.0 | medium | |
| Barsha Heights | +4.9% | 1,121 | 1,176 | trend +6.0supply -0.4Discussion momentum -0.8 | low | |
| Down Town Jabal Ali | +4.9% | 1,727 | 1,812 | trend +6.8supply -1.9 | medium | |
| Al Barari | +4.9% | 2,654 | 2,784 | trend +5.7supply -0.8Discussion momentum +0.0 | medium | |
| Jumeirah Garden City | +4.6% | 2,336 | 2,443 | trend +6.1supply -1.6 | medium | |
| Jumeirah Golf Estates | +4.4% | 1,532 | 1,600 | trend +4.7supply -0.2 | low | |
| City Of Arabia | +4.2% | 1,707 | 1,779 | trend +6.2supply -2.0 | medium | |
| Rukan | +4.1% | 1,132 | 1,178 | trend +4.1supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Business Park | +3.8% | 3,169 | 3,288 | trend +5.8supply -2.0 | medium | |
| The Villa | +3.5% | 981 | 1,015 | trend +3.5supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Dubai Sports City | +3.4% | 1,205 | 1,246 | trend +2.6supply -1.2Discussion momentum +2.0 | medium | |
| Arjan | +3.2% | 1,560 | 1,611 | trend +4.9supply -1.3Discussion momentum -0.4 | medium | |
| International City Phase 1 | +3.2% | 678 | 700 | trend +3.6supply -0.4 | high | |
| Wasl Gate | +3.1% | 1,686 | 1,738 | trend +5.0supply -1.9 | medium | |
| Dubai Science Park | +3.0% | 2,009 | 2,069 | trend +4.8supply -1.8 | medium | |
| The Greens | +2.3% | 1,916 | 1,961 | trend +2.5supply -0.1 | high | |
| Dubai Maritime City | +2.2% | 3,198 | 3,269 | trend +4.2supply -2.0 | medium | |
| Madinat Badr | +2.1% | 1,381 | 1,410 | trend +2.1supply +0.0 | high | |
| Mohammed Bin Rashid AL Maktoum District 11 | +2.0% | 1,638 | 1,670 | trend +3.3supply -1.4 | medium | |
| Dubai Investment Park First | +2.0% | 1,094 | 1,116 | trend +3.9supply -1.9 | medium | |
| Jabal Ali Village | +2.0% | 1,226 | 1,250 | trend +2.0supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Jumeirah Village Triangle | +1.9% | 1,574 | 1,604 | trend +3.6supply -1.7 | medium | |
| LA MER | +1.9% | 3,209 | 3,270 | trend +2.0supply -0.1 | medium | |
| Arabian Ranches II | +1.8% | 1,437 | 1,463 | trend +1.8supply +0.0 | high | |
| DAMAC Lagoons | +1.3% | 1,729 | 1,751 | trend +2.6supply -1.3Discussion momentum +0.0 | high | |
| Dubai Studio City | +1.2% | 1,517 | 1,535 | trend +2.4supply -1.2 | high | |
| Jaddaf Waterfront | +1.2% | 2,000 | 2,023 | trend +3.0supply -1.9 | high | |
| Remraam | +1.2% | 940 | 951 | trend +3.2supply +0.0Discussion momentum -2.0 | high | |
| 800 Villas | +1.0% | 1,209 | 1,221 | trend +1.0supply +0.0 | high | |
| Palm Deira | +0.8% | 2,321 | 2,339 | trend +2.6supply -1.8 | medium | |
| Al Furjan | +0.5% | 1,336 | 1,342 | trend +2.7supply -1.0Discussion momentum -1.3 | high | |
| International Media Production Zone | +0.4% | 1,401 | 1,407 | trend +1.9supply -1.5 | high | |
| Arabian Ranches 3 | +0.2% | 1,687 | 1,690 | trend +0.7supply -0.5 | high | |
| Liwan1 | +0.2% | 1,000 | 1,002 | trend +1.2supply -1.0 | medium | |
| Palm Jabal Ali | +0.2% | 3,565 | 3,572 | trend +2.2supply -2.0 | low | |
| TILAL AL GHAF | +0.1% | 2,415 | 2,416 | trend +0.3supply -0.3Discussion momentum +0.0 | high | |
| Dubai Health Care City Phase 2 | +0.0% | 1,767 | 1,767 | trend +1.2supply -1.2 | medium | |
| Wasl 1 | +0.0% | 2,261 | 2,260 | trend +1.5supply -1.5 | high | |
| Arabian Ranches - 1 | +0.0% | 1,492 | 1,491 | trend +1.7supply -1.8 | high | |
| Mina Rashid | -0.1% | 2,924 | 2,921 | trend +1.7supply -1.8 | low | |
| DMCC-EZ2 | -0.2% | 2,960 | 2,953 | trend +1.8supply -2.0 | high | |
| Meydan One Community | -0.5% | 1,887 | 1,878 | trend +0.1supply -0.6 | high | |
| Majan | -0.6% | 1,418 | 1,409 | trend +1.1supply -1.7 | medium | |
| Dubai Creek Harbour | -0.8% | 2,539 | 2,518 | trend +2.5supply -1.6Discussion momentum -1.7 | high | |
| Dubai Water Canal | -0.8% | 3,156 | 3,132 | trend +0.9supply -1.6 | high | |
| City Walk | -0.9% | 3,091 | 3,063 | trend +0.4supply -1.3Discussion momentum +0.0 | high | |
| Mirdif | -1.0% | 660 | 653 | trend -0.5supply -0.5Discussion momentum +0.0 | low | |
| Jumeirah Village Circle | -1.1% | 1,451 | 1,435 | trend +0.1supply -1.2 | high | |
| SOBHA HARTLAND | -1.7% | 2,023 | 1,989 | trend -0.5supply -0.4Discussion momentum -0.8 | high | |
| The Valley | -1.7% | 1,407 | 1,383 | trend -0.6supply -1.1 | medium | |
| Dubai World Central | -1.8% | 1,699 | 1,669 | trend +0.1supply -1.8 | medium | |
| TOWN SQUARE | -1.8% | 1,379 | 1,355 | trend +0.4supply -1.1Discussion momentum -1.1 | high | |
| HADAEQ SHEIKH MOHAMMED BIN RASHID - DISRICT 7 | -2.5% | 1,991 | 1,942 | trend -2.4supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Jumeriah Beach Residence - JBR | -2.6% | 1,542 | 1,501 | trend -2.6supply +0.0 | high | |
| Discovery Gardens | -2.9% | 898 | 872 | trend -2.6supply -0.3Discussion momentum +0.0 | high | |
| Dubai Hills Estate | -3.0% | 2,308 | 2,240 | trend -1.8supply -1.2Discussion momentum +0.0 | high | |
| Bluewaters Island | -3.2% | 5,317 | 5,148 | trend -3.2supply +0.0 | medium | |
| TECOM Site D | -3.2% | 2,618 | 2,535 | trend -1.2supply -2.0 | high | |
| DownTown Dubai | -3.5% | 2,737 | 2,641 | trend -3.4supply -0.8Discussion momentum +0.7 | low | |
| Dubai Investment Park Second | -3.5% | 1,419 | 1,369 | trend -1.6supply -1.9 | high | |
| DMCC-EZ1 | -3.6% | 2,765 | 2,665 | trend -3.6supply +0.0 | medium | |
| Silicon Oasis | -3.9% | 1,135 | 1,091 | trend -3.0supply -0.9 | low | |
| DAMAC HILLS 2 | -4.3% | 1,132 | 1,084 | trend -4.2supply -0.1 | medium | |
| Dubai Marina | -4.4% | 1,969 | 1,882 | trend -4.2supply -0.2Discussion momentum +0.0 | medium | |
| Dubai Land Residence Complex | -4.8% | 1,250 | 1,189 | trend -3.6supply -1.2 | high | |
| Mohammed Bin Rashid AL Maktoum City -District -1 Community | -5.5% | 1,908 | 1,802 | trend -5.4supply -0.2 | medium | |
| Business Bay | -5.8% | 2,040 | 1,921 | trend -5.0supply -1.1Discussion momentum +0.3 | medium | |
| TECOM Site A | -6.8% | 2,601 | 2,424 | trend -5.7supply -1.1 | low | |
| Dubai Harbour | -7.2% | 3,389 | 3,144 | trend -6.0supply -1.2 | medium | |
| Motor City | -8.7% | 1,488 | 1,358 | trend -7.1supply -1.6 | medium | |
| Jumeirah Lakes Towers | -11.5% | 1,564 | 1,385 | trend -10.6supply -0.9 | medium |
Methodology
Three-driver transparent model: (1) base trend = OLS slope of last 4–8 quarters of median psf projected 6mo forward; (2) supply pressure = downward modifier scaled by off-plan share, capped at -2pp; (3) demand pull = sentiment_trend × 8, capped at ±2pp, only when n≥30 Reddit items. Most-recent quarter dropped from trend if its sample is <30% of prior (DLD registration lag). Confidence reflects quarterly volatility + sample width. Approximate. NOT a substitute for property-level appraisal.
- Base trend — OLS slope of last 4–8 quarters of median psf, projected forward 2 quarters. Capped at ±15% to avoid runaway extrapolation.
- Supply pressure — downward pressure scaled by off-plan share. 0% off-plan → 0pp; 50% → -1pp; 100% → -2pp.
- Discussion momentum — 4-quarter trend from the dated 2021–2026 Reddit archive × 8, capped ±2pp. Applied only with at least 30 on-topic items; this is qualitative context, not a live demand measure.
- Confidence — derived from quarterly volatility + sample width. High → ±5%, medium → ±8%, low → ±13%.
- Most-recent quarter is dropped from the trend if its sample size is <30% of the prior quarter (DLD registration lag).