#1 by matching listings
Charlie Harkness
Agency not supplied by feed
100% of observed sale portfolio here
AED 3.6M–5.3M
villa community
Buyer read
Studios have a median sale price of AED 624K. 89% of recent sales are off-plan, while market activity ranks above average. The downside profile is robust, based on 2 of 5 available inputs.
AED 624K
Studio median · 2026 YTD
89% off-plan
High supply-pressure proxy
Above average
Relative to Dubai communities
Robust
2 of 5 risk inputs available
Dubai's premier villa community featuring desert-themed architecture, an 18-hole golf course, and the Arabian Ranches Golf Club. A favorite for families.
Median PSF
AED 1,505
Villas
YoY change
+6.3%
5-yr sales
29,649
DLD transactions
Gross yield
5.5%
Ejari, last 12m
DUBUY VERDICT
Arabian Ranches - 1 offers workable local convenience with public-transport coverage is unscored. The mapped inventory covers 32 named venues; use the detail cards below to check the categories that matter to your routine.
Amenity access
49/100
Outdoor access
—
Transit
—
Mapped venues
32
Dining
3/100
16 mapped
Shopping
3/100
7 mapped
Health
1/100
1 mapped
Nightlife
7/100
2 mapped bars
DUBUY VERDICT
Arabian Ranches - 1 has compounded 55% over 3 years. Yields are middle-of-the-road — buy for resale, not rental income.
YoY change
+6.3%
3-yr growth
+55%
Gross yield
5.5%
5yr volume
29,649
Median PSF
AED 1,505
Villas
YoY change
+6.3%
5-yr sales
29,649
DLD transactions
Gross yield
5.5%
Ejari, last 12m
Arabian Ranches - 1 is a primarily villa-based community in Dubai with 29,649 transactions on record over the last five years. Median price per square foot sits at AED 1,505, up 6.3% year-on-year, tracking below the city-wide 7.0% benchmark. Use the evidence groups above to test daily life, market depth, available homes, and downside before deciding what to do next.
Affordability quick-look
Pre-filled with Arabian Ranches - 1 median. Drag the sliders — DLD-typical 4.5% APR over 25 years.
Monthly payment
AED 4K
Loan AED 807K · 25 yrs @ 4.5%
Indicative only — real rates vary by bank, residency status and credit profile. UAE typically requires 20–25% down for residents, 35–50% for non-residents.
PROPERTY CATALOGUE
Arabian Ranches - 1 is led by apartments, with 60 named developments and home types available to research.
Home types
3
Registered and marketed
Typical size
787 sqft
Community median
Named homes
60
Projects and home types
Floor plans
0 licensed
Rights-cleared only
Apartments
Studio, 1 B/R, 2 B/R, 3 B/R, 4 B/R, 5 B/R, 6 B/R, 7 B/R
402–1,383 sqft
Villas
Bedroom mix not published
Not published
Hotel apartments
1 B/R, 2 B/R, 3 B/R
943–1,649 sqft
Includes Dubai Land Residence Complex, SKY COURTS, Liwan2 and 57 more.
Explore all homesArchived discussion themes: Praised for four-bedroom semi-detached villas offer substantial living space. Criticised for severe traffic congestion on main exit routes during peak times.
Historical discussion
Above average
historical discussion rank among covered Dubai areas
Dated 2021–2026 archive from r/dubai, r/UAE and r/expats · 142 on-topic mentions · latest item Jul 18, 2026 · last scored 2026-07-21
Discussion trend
Getting worse
-0.06 per year
Mostly discussed by
people considering a move
38% of mentions
Axis zoomed to the observed range (-0.3 to +0.3); sentiment scores still use the full −1 to +1 scale.
Sentiment from Q1 2024 to Q2 2026 moved from -0.21 to -0.22. Based on 129 mentions across 9 quarters.
Based on cosine similarity of what people praise and criticise about each area.
Based on 142 Reddit posts and comments (2021–2026) from r/dubai, r/UAE, r/expats and r/digitalnomad, scored by Claude Haiku. Latest collected item: Jul 18, 2026. Last scored 2026-07-21. Read the full methodology.
MARKET VERDICT
Arabian Ranches - 1 is tracking below Dubai's current 7.0% annual benchmark. Read price direction together with volume, yield, and forecast confidence rather than treating one change figure as a buy signal.
YoY change
+6.3%
3-yr growth
+55%
12m sales
9,066
Forecast
high
Current PSF
AED 1,485
6-month forecast
+1.2%
Forecast range
1,428–1,578
AED per sqft
Confidence
High
Model confidence
HOMES & LISTINGS VERDICT
Arabian Ranches - 1 is led by apartments, with 60 named developments and home types available to research.
Named profiles
60
Primary stock
Villas
Agent evidence
Available
Off-plan mix
89%
Named profiles
60
complete catalogue
Primary stock
Villas
100% of observed mix
12m sales
9,066
DLD transactions
Agent evidence
Available
Observed listing specialists
RISK & SUPPLY VERDICT
Supply concentration, delivery pipeline, leverage, liquidity, flood exposure, and forecast uncertainty can change the exit case. The current downside profile is robust with 2 of 5 composite inputs available.
Supply pressure
high
Downside
Robust
Forecast confidence
high
Mapped greenery
Exceptional
Off-plan share
89%
Recent ready/off-plan sales
Supply pressure
High
9,066 sales sampled
Downside profile
Robust
2 of 5 inputs
Forecast confidence
High
Scenario confidence
Dubai's property market has grown 60% since the 2020 pandemic low. Arabian Ranches - 1 is growing more moderately, which may indicate better value opportunities.
School data from DubaiSchools.ai • KHDA ratings • Updated May 2026
Mapped amenities within a 2.5km straight-line radius • 32 total outlets near Arabian Ranches - 1
Limited amenity density · based on mapped POI density, not routed walking conditions
Data source: OpenStreetMap via Overpass API • 2.5km straight-line radius • Source snapshot: September 2026
Exceptional mapped greenery · #3 of 75 mapped Dubai communities The 59 figure counts OpenStreetMap park-tagged features within 2.5km of the community centre. It does not mean 59 distinct named parks or confirm walking access.
Real drive times based on Dubai road network • Peak hours (8-10am, 5-8pm) shown
Observed listing specialists
13 matching sale adverts across 11 agents. Ranked by unique listings, not paid placement or a claim of service quality.
#1 by matching listings
Agency not supplied by feed
100% of observed sale portfolio here
AED 3.6M–5.3M
#2 by matching listings
Agency not supplied by feed
100% of observed sale portfolio here
AED 5.7M–18.5M
#3 by matching listings
Agency not supplied by feed
100% of observed sale portfolio here
AED 4.9M
Observed 7 Sept 2026. One physical home can be advertised more than once; use this shortlist to find agents with options, then verify the individual RERA licence and interview them.
Sale and rental listings pulled from PropertyFinder. Filter by purpose, bedrooms, or price — sort live.
No active listings indexed yet
PropertyFinder syncs are weekly. Try again soon, or browse PropertyFinder directly.
30-DAY REPRICING
Dubuy is validating advertised asking-price reductions before publishing this community signal. Zeros are withheld until comparable collection runs and the accuracy audit pass.
Completed runs
25
Minimum release
4 runs
Audit sample
0
State
shadow
Advert-level changes, not unique homes or completed-sale discounts.
Open filtered Repricing RadarMarket history
Median sale price per sqft and registered sales, by completed quarter. Volume often moves before price.
Latest median PSF
AED 1,525
Q2 2026
3m price change
+0.9%
vs prior completed quarter
Quarter sales
4,220
Q2 2026
3m sales change
-10.8%
vs prior completed quarter
Completed quarters are used instead of raw 1-month changes because DLD registrations typically lag 4–8 weeks and thin monthly samples can overstate changes in the mix of homes sold.
Ready / resale
AED 868/sqft
8,870 sales
Off-plan (developer)
AED 1,306/sqft
23,760 sales
Median AED/sqft from DLD, split by registration type. Off-plan reflects developer / Oqood pricing; ready reflects secondary-market resale.
DLD transaction records, 2020–2026
| Type | Median Price | AED/sqft | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|
| Studio | AED 638K | 1,471 | 7,772 |
| 1 B/R | AED 968K | 1,193 | 6,981 |
| 2 B/R | AED 1.30M | 1,030 | 3,652 |
| 3 B/R | AED 2.14M | 1,386 | 7,170 |
| 4 B/R | AED 2.95M | 1,044 | 4,131 |
| 5 B/R | AED 13.0M | 2,506 | 266 |
| 6 B/R | AED 29.8M | 2,822 | 32 |
| 7 B/R | AED 39.9M | 3,168 | 9 |
Government-filed · 115,797 contracts
From 2026Q3 · 8 quarters of data
AED 1,485/sqft → AED 1,503/sqft
Range AED 1,428 – 1,578· -0.1 pp vs Dubai forecast (+1.3%)
Drivers
Base trend
OLS slope of last 8 quarters' median psf, projected 6mo
Supply pressure
89% off-plan share — high incoming supply
OLS trend + supply pressure + dated discussion momentum. Not a substitute for property-level appraisal. Methodology →
Buy vs rent
Buying breaks even in ~1.5 years — strong investment case
See the year-by-year buy-vs-rent cashflow for Arabian Ranches - 1
Pro members get the full 30-year simulation chart with sensitivity sliders.
Gross · last 24 months Ejari ÷ DLD median sale
-0.3 pp vs Dubai median
By bedroom type
AED 37K/yr ÷ AED 638K
AED 50K/yr ÷ AED 968K
AED 68K/yr ÷ AED 1.30M
AED 150K/yr ÷ AED 2.14M
AED 200K/yr ÷ AED 2.95M
AED 278K/yr ÷ AED 12.98M
AED 355K/yr ÷ AED 29.83M
Gross yield only — service charges (0.5–1.5%) and management costs not deducted. Confidence reflects sample size: high (≥25/25), medium (≥10/10).
Dubai Law No. 43 of 2013 — what can your landlord legally charge?
| Current rent vs market | Max increase |
|---|---|
| At or above market | 0% |
| Up to 10% below market | 0% |
| 11–20% below market | 5% |
| 21–30% below market | 10% |
| 31–40% below market | 15% |
| More than 40% below market | 20% |
Market rate is the RERA rental index for this community + unit type, derived from Ejari registration data. Data covers thousands of registered contracts.
Offer guide
112 ready-home DLD sales put the exact bedrooms middle PSF at AED 1,673. Add the asking price and internal area to scale the evidence to a home.
Value a unit in this community
Bedroom-specific psf, building-tier adjusted, with the actual comparables we used. Free — methodology shown.
Median PSF change over time
3 months
-1.9%
6 months
-0.7%
1 year
-5.8%
2 years
+9.0%
Median price per square foot (PSF), quarter-on-quarter, ending 2026Q3. From DLD transactions; monthly granularity isn't published.
| Quarter | Median/sqft | Transactions | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | AED 1,485 | 1,222 | -1.9% |
| 2026Q2 | AED 1,513 | 1,930 | +1.2% |
| 2026Q1 | AED 1,495 | 2,375 | -1.5% |
| 2025Q4 | AED 1,518 | 2,821 | -3.7% |
| 2025Q3 | AED 1,576 | 2,887 | +16.5% |
| 2025Q2 | AED 1,353 | 2,022 | -1.6% |
| 2025Q1 | AED 1,375 | 3,298 | +0.6% |
| 2024Q4 | AED 1,367 | 3,244 | +0.4% |
| 2024Q3 | AED 1,362 | 2,134 | +16.0% |
| 2024Q2 | AED 1,174 | 1,657 | +16.1% |
| 2024Q1 | AED 1,011 | 856 | +16.9% |
| 2023Q4 | AED 865 | 802 | -3.9% |
| 2023Q3 | AED 900 | 847 | +7.7% |
| 2023Q2 | AED 836 | 545 | -2.8% |
| 2023Q1 | AED 860 | 589 | +6.7% |
| 2022Q4 | AED 806 | 398 | +2.3% |
| 2022Q3 | AED 788 | 400 | +0.0% |
| 2022Q2 | AED 788 | 385 | -4.1% |
| 2022Q1 | AED 822 | 598 | +9.6% |
| 2021Q4 | AED 750 | 453 | -1.7% |
| 2021Q3 | AED 763 | 186 |
Healthcare, education, government housing, air quality, and official land valuations.
DLD-licensed agents • 8,724 registered brokers from 792 agencies
View All AgentsAll agents verified through Dubai Land Department (DLD) licensing system
35,179 Ejari contracts · DLD official data
Median annual rent
AED 58K
Registered Ejari contracts
Monthly equivalent
AED 4,830
Annual median divided by 12
Gross yield
5.4%
Before service charges and costs
New / renewed
15,899 / 19,280
Contract counts
6 Bedrooms
124 contracts
AED 355K/yr
AED 29,583/mo
studio Bedrooms
5897 contracts
AED 37K/yr
AED 3,083/mo
1 Bedroom
13953 contracts
AED 50K/yr
AED 4,167/mo
2 Bedrooms
7775 contracts
AED 68K/yr
AED 5,667/mo
3 Bedrooms
4074 contracts
AED 150K/yr
AED 12,500/mo
4 Bedrooms
2479 contracts
AED 200K/yr
AED 16,667/mo
5 Bedrooms
877 contracts
AED 278K/yr
AED 23,188/mo
Source: DLD Ejari rental contracts
Off-plan risk
37/100
Moderate
Headline risk for Arabian Ranches - 1. Buyer Pro explains the five supply, developer, pricing, liquidity, and momentum drivers.
Explain Arabian Ranches - 1's off-plan risk score
See the five scored drivers covering supply concentration, developer delivery, price premium, exit liquidity, and momentum.
Composite of leverage trend, transaction velocity, asking-vs-realized wedge, market-temperature proxy, and off-plan share. Exact scores require at least 4 of 5 inputs; lower coverage is shown as a tier only. Higher = more vulnerable to a downturn. Not a buy/sell signal — context only.
Counts OpenStreetMap-tagged green features (parks, gardens, woods, grass and pitches) within a 2.5km straight-line search radius of the community centroid. The tier is relative to other Dubai communities and does not claim walkability or shade. Satellite vegetation is the ESA WorldCover 2021 share at 10m resolution when available.
April 2024: Villa flooding and waterlogged roads reported.
A conservative, news-derived read of communities reported flooded in the April 2024 event — indicative only, not an engineering, drainage or insurance assessment. Elevation is shown as context, not used to score risk (Dubai is flat; drainage drives flooding). Communities without a rating were simply not reported — that is not evidence of safety. Methodology
Pick a date and click "Look up" to see this community's median PSF and transaction counts on that day. Data starts from when our weekly DLD pipeline began persisting snapshots.
Get an email when Arabian Ranches - 1's median PSF moves more than your chosen threshold. One community, one email — no broadcasts.
Current baseline: AED 1,505/sqft. Unsubscribe in one click. We respect your inbox.
The median property price in Arabian Ranches - 1 is AED 1,076,461, with a median price per square foot of AED 1,505. Prices have changed +6.3% year-over-year as of September 2026.
Arabian Ranches - 1 is primarily a villa community with approximately 0% apartments and 100% villas. The most common property types include Villa (1,110).
Arabian Ranches - 1 has seen 29,649 property transactions over the past 5 years. The current year-over-year price change is +6.3%, with 9,066 transactions in the last 12 months. This data is sourced from the Dubai Land Department (DLD).
Numbers above are derived from Dubai Land Department (DLD) transaction records and Ejari rental contracts as of September 2026.How we built this.